.....I'm sure the west would not respond initially with any sort of nuke ...
No need. Everything Ru has beyond it's own borders would be destroyed within hours, conventionally.
A mixed wing of F 35s with F18A Growlers and F 16s would clear the skies, sink every ship in the Black Sea and allow the U army to push the Russians back to their own borders quicker than they could say: "What the farq was that?".
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