LIN 2.04% 10.0¢ lindian resources limited

Ann: Outstanding Kangankunde Stage 1 Feasibility Study Results, page-52

  1. 3,669 Posts.
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    Hello. The bottom line numbers are below. They are difficult for me to follow.

    * AISC of $3.71/kg. Difficult to believe unless the concentrate is quite unrefined. PEK have US$5.80/kg (although I recall PEK studies from the distance past had higher OPEX).

    * 8,259 tonnes of REE in concentrate per annum for US$113,700,000 average revenue per annum, which equates to a basket price of US$13.77/kg after payability discount from around a 60% payability.

    * However, the current LIN basket spot price appears to be US$9.82/kg and on 50% payability is US$4.91/kg on a difficult for me to believe US$3.71/kg opex (including royalties).

    * At current spot prices this appears to equate to average EBITDA of 8.3Mkg x US$1.21 gross margin = US$10Mpa EBITDA. Then deduct, depreciation, 30% tax, etc and convert into AUD$.

    * Therefore, at current spot prices, the EBITDA appears to be 1/11 of what the LIN study suggests will occur in the future.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6279/6279769-89045b4c229df0da10a16667317bbf71.jpg


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6279/6279735-618a0058da5c1e94692d74647587c6b4.jpg


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6279/6279716-0e9ecf15819aac007074b0a1b604a3b3.jpg


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6279/6279701-2ef2bc004be66e1a3f62b93494ac3be4.jpg


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6279/6279668-bc01b545ebc7a8774478cb204eeb1a0c.jpg


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6279/6279623-7b4da4ff1b416b9e75cdfe97148de6e5.jpg

    Last edited by GKeden: 01/07/24
 
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