"
Russian momentum is indisputable and obvious"
Is it?
Look at these insignificant gains, in all of June Putin managed to add 50km2, that's 0.01%, of new occupied territory, now compare that to the unsustainable colossal losses of Russian troops and material.
Keep in mind that Putn started his second invasion already occupying about 9% of Ukraine.
"Indisputable", right, hilarious.

The map of Russia's occupation has looked essentially identical to this. If you zoom in real close, like really really close, you'd see all that "Russian momentum".

https://x.com/War_Mapper/status/1808591988884983868