Numbers as they stand stack pretty like for like with CVV which is valued at A$100m. If you back A$75-100m out of our current MC I still think it makes Tomingley look cheap even considering recent miss steps (if that is how you want to phrase it).
To @Antipater_100 point this will end up a much longer life project than 17 years, once initial capex hurdle is gone then the requirement for additional material to make a profit will be a lot lower and this will go for decades.
On this basis an NPV kind of becomes a little redundant too. Numbers that are important are capex, payback period and annual EBITDA/FCF
AISC of A$600 on 150koz is cheap. That is basically $450m EBITDA/yr at spot prices.
Maybe they can consider non owner operated fleet etc and bring capex down and push opex up a little at the start to make the hurdle a little easier.
Grade for the 20Mtpa scenario is pretty low 0.26g/t Au and 0.15% Cu. First 5 years a bit higher at like 0.32g/t and 0.18% Cu
If we can find a 50Mt near surface pocket somewhere of even say 0.45g/t and 0.25% Cu (not asking for miracles) then that would make a huge difference in payback period and likelihood of project getting up.
At the end of the day this was always a bull market asset and this SS to me confirms that it is a pretty reasonable one.
Only takes a few things to go right and it gets a lot better
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- ALK
- Ann: Boda-Kaiser Scoping Study
Ann: Boda-Kaiser Scoping Study, page-18
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 88 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
AVH
Avita boosts skin restoration product portfolio with 'dermal matrix' – a kind of next-level gauze made of fake skin
MTL
Mantle Minerals' Nick Poll talks to HotCopper on finding gold grades up to 3.57g/t at Mt Berghaus
Add ALK (ASX) to my watchlist
|
|||||
Last
42.3¢ |
Change
-0.018(3.98%) |
Mkt cap ! $254.9M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
43.5¢ | 43.8¢ | 42.0¢ | $1.984M | 4.668M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
46 | 279621 | 42.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
42.5¢ | 101557 | 17 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
46 | 279621 | 0.420 |
20 | 184424 | 0.415 |
15 | 295778 | 0.410 |
10 | 235299 | 0.405 |
15 | 248914 | 0.400 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.425 | 101557 | 17 |
0.430 | 56560 | 9 |
0.435 | 90380 | 3 |
0.440 | 86858 | 3 |
0.445 | 38424 | 2 |
Last trade - 14.57pm 02/08/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
ALK (ASX) Chart |