Re this war & China.
IMO China aims to be the Eastern Hegemon by 2049 (The 100th Anniversary of the CCP Revolution)
To achieve that , Russia sees the US as its chief impediment and for that reason
any US enemy is China's friend (including China) in the interim
In order to achieve China's 2049 goal, China needs global peace because within
that framework China has prospered to date.
IMO China won't make any further moves on Taiwan unless the US supports Taiwanese
independence and to date the US has avoided that.
True to its Marxist Leninist dogma, China believes that Economics over time trumps Ideology
and for a generation up to Xi it was perusing that path. Last week's 5 year review tweaked that, IMO.
At present the US is waging an economic war on China which is more likely than not to intensify
between now and 2030. Will that lure both into the Thucydides Trap?
According to Graham Allison there's a 75% chance of war and according to our Chinese expert
Kevin Rudd , a US/China war is avoidable.
No doubt both the USA & China are monitoring this war very closely both on the ground and
from space. China in particular will be collecting intelligence and info on NATO's (particularly US)
weapons and war intelligence/info systems and where possible acquire some of the latest
hardware for analysis/copying and of course the US will be doing its best to stymie that.
So the big question is: is this war an entree to a US China war or is it the gateway to Cold War 2
One way or another both sides are lining up their ducks (allies)
Recommended reading:
(Ordered this one...havn't read it yet
but this is the Subject of Rudd's recent Oxford PHD)
