Thanks for posting Whatmigthavben,
I love you optimism, I really do !
When you strip away all the flannel and BS this is essentially a classic high risk speccie. The company may or may not have developed a drug which may or may not be taken up by the industry for which it has been developed. Only time will tell and I wish you luck.
Here's what I think will happen:
Scenario 1
The upcoming trial news reveals that the drug is a failure in which case ACW will start a slow decline leading to a complete collapse and subsequent delisting - SP - 0
Scenario 2
The upcoming trial news is positive but not overwhelmingly so. The SP spikes to 20c but settles to 15c There's still a lot of work to do. A big Pharma thinks there might eventually be some value in the drug and makes a play for ACW at a premium of 2 x the current MC. ACW chew it over and come to the conclusion that the time/effort/money required to complete the development and commercialise the product will require all they have and plenty more. The accept the offer - SP 30c
Scenario 3 (as more finely detailed in your message)
Compete and utter success. The trial is an absolute triumph. ACW go on to develop and commercialise a whole suite of world beating medicines which quickly become the benchmark treatment. ACW doesn't sell out early and eventually the company grows to become a multi Billion dollar entity with a SP start up companies can only dream about.
I have but a modest holding in ACW for the simple reason that I believe it's be either scenario 1 or 2 that will bubble to the surface. Should it be scenario 1 my loss will be modest as will my profit under scenario 2. Should scenario 3 happen it'd be fantastic for all of SH's even those with modest holdings such as myself. The problem with scenario 3 is that I'll be long dead and buried before that happens ! As such I'd rather use my limited capital on those projects that are likely to produce results before that happens.
Could've, should've, didn't.
Lumpymash
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Last
7.6¢ |
Change
0.002(2.70%) |
Mkt cap ! $206.0M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
7.4¢ | 7.6¢ | 7.1¢ | $115.6K | 1.562M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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4 | 205275 | 7.3¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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7.6¢ | 58158 | 2 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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4 | 205275 | 0.073 |
5 | 197520 | 0.072 |
4 | 287383 | 0.071 |
4 | 113972 | 0.070 |
4 | 208252 | 0.069 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.076 | 58158 | 2 |
0.077 | 174987 | 2 |
0.078 | 245130 | 2 |
0.079 | 320130 | 4 |
0.080 | 893607 | 5 |
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