EV/Lithium, page-980

  1. 24,270 Posts.
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    ...as one can see on the 5 year chart, every support has been taken out after LTR fell under 89c, the latest was 81c.

    ...there is no support until 43c! A potential additional decline of -44%!

    ...even if SC6 were to somehow miraculously recover to US$1200, LTR @77c would be trading at PE multiple of 37.5x which is expensive for a sector that is mired with large uncertainty.

    ...at US$800 SC6 price, LTR would be facing a prospect of close to A$150mil loss. That makes a MC of $1.8B hugely expensive!

    ...at 43c price, LTR would be at PE multiple of 20x based on US1200/T SC6 price. That would be reasonable risk reward at MC of about $1B, but still not super cheap. Not if we face a recession shortly.

    ...if lithium hodlers are stubbornly in defiance, that is your choice but I had cautioned awhile back when LTR was at circa $1.20, it has since fallen by -35%. You preferred not to listen to a 'troll', lol.

    ...it has gone awfully quiet on the LTR forum, and the BTFD FOMO is fading fast.

    5 year view
    LTR Stock Price and Chart — ASX:LTR — TradingView

    Column 1 Column 2
    0 LTR 2025- @$1200
    1 SPOD PRICE ASSUMPTION   $ 1,200
    2 TANTULUM PRICE(US/LB)   $    84
    3 SC6 SALES (TONS) 325,000
    4 TANTULUM SALES 30% (TONS) 339
    5 SC6 REVENUE (MIL)   $ 390
    6 TANTULUM 30% (MIL)   $    57
    7     $ 447
    8     $    0.67
    9 AUD REVENUE (MIL)   $   667.09
    10 OPERATING EXPENSES   $ (540.00)
    11 DEPN & AMORTISATION   $   (45.00)
    12 NET INTEREST EXP   $   (32.00)
    13 NPBT (MIL)   $ 50.09
    14 NPAT (MIL)   $    50
    15 OPEX/TON (AUD)   $ 1,662
    16 OPEX/TON (USD)@68c   $ 1,130
    17 NO OF SHARES (MIL_ 2,440
    18 PRICE   $ 0.770
    19 MARKET CAP (MIL)   $ 1,879
    20 PE MULTIPLE 37.51

    Column 1 Column 2
    0 LTR 2025- @$800
    1 SPOD PRICE ASSUMPTION   $ 800
    2 TANTULUM PRICE(US/LB)   $    84
    3 SC6 SALES (TONS) 325,000
    4 TANTULUM SALES 30% (TONS) 339
    5 SC6 REVENUE (MIL)   $ 260
    6 TANTULUM 30% (MIL)   $    57
    7     $ 317
    8     $    0.67
    9 AUD REVENUE (MIL)   $   473.06
    10 OPERATING EXPENSES   $ (540.00)
    11 DEPN & AMORTISATION   $   (45.00)
    12 NET INTEREST EXP   $   (32.00)
    13 NPBT (MIL)   $ (143.94)
    14 NPAT (MIL)   $   (144)
    15 OPEX/TON (AUD)   $ 1,662
    16 OPEX/TON (USD)@68c   $ 1,130
 
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