...as one can see on the 5 year chart, every support has been taken out after LTR fell under 89c, the latest was 81c.
...there is no support until 43c! A potential additional decline of -44%!
...even if SC6 were to somehow miraculously recover to US$1200, LTR @77c would be trading at PE multiple of 37.5x which is expensive for a sector that is mired with large uncertainty.
...at US$800 SC6 price, LTR would be facing a prospect of close to A$150mil loss. That makes a MC of $1.8B hugely expensive!
...at 43c price, LTR would be at PE multiple of 20x based on US1200/T SC6 price. That would be reasonable risk reward at MC of about $1B, but still not super cheap. Not if we face a recession shortly.
...if lithium hodlers are stubbornly in defiance, that is your choice but I had cautioned awhile back when LTR was at circa $1.20, it has since fallen by -35%. You preferred not to listen to a 'troll', lol.
...it has gone awfully quiet on the LTR forum, and the BTFD FOMO is fading fast.
5 year view
LTR Stock Price and Chart — ASX:LTR — TradingView
Column 1 Column 2 0 LTR 2025- @$1200 1 SPOD PRICE ASSUMPTION $ 1,200 2 TANTULUM PRICE(US/LB) $ 84 3 SC6 SALES (TONS) 325,000 4 TANTULUM SALES 30% (TONS) 339 5 SC6 REVENUE (MIL) $ 390 6 TANTULUM 30% (MIL) $ 57 7 $ 447 8 $ 0.67 9 AUD REVENUE (MIL) $ 667.09 10 OPERATING EXPENSES $ (540.00) 11 DEPN & AMORTISATION $ (45.00) 12 NET INTEREST EXP $ (32.00) 13 NPBT (MIL) $ 50.09 14 NPAT (MIL) $ 50 15 OPEX/TON (AUD) $ 1,662 16 OPEX/TON (USD)@68c $ 1,130 17 NO OF SHARES (MIL_ 2,440 18 PRICE $ 0.770 19 MARKET CAP (MIL) $ 1,879 20 PE MULTIPLE 37.51
Column 1 Column 2 0 LTR 2025- @$800 1 SPOD PRICE ASSUMPTION $ 800 2 TANTULUM PRICE(US/LB) $ 84 3 SC6 SALES (TONS) 325,000 4 TANTULUM SALES 30% (TONS) 339 5 SC6 REVENUE (MIL) $ 260 6 TANTULUM 30% (MIL) $ 57 7 $ 317 8 $ 0.67 9 AUD REVENUE (MIL) $ 473.06 10 OPERATING EXPENSES $ (540.00) 11 DEPN & AMORTISATION $ (45.00) 12 NET INTEREST EXP $ (32.00) 13 NPBT (MIL) $ (143.94) 14 NPAT (MIL) $ (144) 15 OPEX/TON (AUD) $ 1,662 16 OPEX/TON (USD)@68c $ 1,130
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