He's no more wrong than anyone trying to predict prices into the future when they don't have the ability to do so..make your own decisions based on your own best guess and live with the consequences IMO.
This is an sector in its infancy, very volatile ,very prone to technological advances and Govt interference and will make fools out of most of us at various times.
Chat site participants are prone to latch on to and give thumbs up to anyone who suggests a rosy future but we simply don't know how this will play out over time but as producers we are very price dependant and at the moment thats working against us unfortunately.
Cheers Whisky
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