15% discount rate will not even be close to get a buyer.
This is a risky instrument and hard to sell for a few reasons:
1. There is oil production risk. Early production signs are positive but even so, at $70/bbl you'll only just get the full contingent payment. If there are production issues, then not enough barrels will come out even at $70/bbl to get the full payment.
2. It's very expensive to hedge oil, so if you want a 15% p.a return after hedging, you need to be buying at closer to a 40% discount rate before hedging costs.
3. Senegal is a risky jurisdiction and they will try and hit you any way they can think off to extract your money. See prior Senegal / FAR / Capricorn energy dispute and now Woodside / Senegal dispute.
If you get unlucky on any of the 3 above, a lot of money can be lost on this.
The odds of getting a sale away in my view are low.
Management will likely be happy to sit on the contingent payment and get paid for another 3 years of doing nothing unless major shareholders push them.
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Last
39.0¢ |
Change
-0.010(2.50%) |
Mkt cap ! $36.96M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
39.0¢ | 39.0¢ | 39.0¢ | $19.79K | 50.75K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 30333 | 39.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
39.5¢ | 5000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 30333 | 0.390 |
1 | 31815 | 0.385 |
2 | 105520 | 0.380 |
1 | 150000 | 0.370 |
2 | 48728 | 0.365 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.395 | 5000 | 1 |
0.400 | 2801 | 1 |
0.405 | 5000 | 1 |
0.410 | 5704 | 2 |
0.415 | 10389 | 1 |
Last trade - 10.00am 07/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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FAR (ASX) Chart |