NWC new world resources limited

Ann: Highly Successful Reserve Upgrade Drilling Program Completed, page-39

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    IMO. DYOR. If anything is missing or wrong, let me know.

    1. Resource and Reserve Assessment

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Grade of Resource

    - Cu: 2.1%, Zn: 5.0%, Pb: 0.9%, Ag: 32.9 g/t, Au: 0.36 g/t.

    - Cu-equivalent: 4.1%, ranking among the highest globally.

    - The high Cu-equivalent grade significantly enhances project economics, providing a cushion against price fluctuations.

    2

    - Recent drilling: 18.6m @ 5.9% Cu-Equiv., exceeding Resource model expectations.

    - High-grade zones significantly enhance economic viability.

    - Exceptional intercepts reinforce the geological model’s robustness and validate further exploration plans.

    3

    Resource Size

    - Total: 11.4 Mt (Measured: Upgrade pending Q1 2025).

    - Comparable projects typically classify ~50% as "Measured."

    - Resource classification upgrade to "Measured" will reduce uncertainty and attract more investors.

    4

    - Indicated: 9.06 Mt (4.3% Cu-Equiv.), Inferred: 2.37 Mt (3.3% Cu-Equiv.).


    - The significant portion in the Indicated category demonstrates high confidence in the near-term resource.

    5

    Reserves

    - Reserve definition program supports 3–5 years of high-confidence operations initially.

    - Industry standards aim for >5 years Proven reserves initially.

    - Future exploration targeting resource expansion can extend mine life, increasing long-term project stability.

    6

    - Ore Reserves upgrades expected to "Measured" category.


    - The focus on early reserve development reduces production risk during the initial years of operation.

    7

    Limitations

    - Heavy reliance on inferred zones for longer-term planning.

    - Industry aims to minimize inferred reliance in early years.

    - Targeted drilling to convert inferred resources into higher-confidence categories should remain a priority.


    2. Feasibility and Costs

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Feasibility Study

    - PFS completed (July 2024); DFS underway with metallurgical test work ongoing.

    - Consistent with development timelines for high-grade projects.

    - Early PFS outcomes indicate the project has strong economic potential, providing a solid base for DFS refinement.

    2

    - Early findings indicate robust economics for high-grade production.


    - Accelerating DFS workstreams, including mine design and permitting, is crucial for meeting the 2027 production target.

    3

    CapEx

    - Estimated cost of plant, tailings, and infrastructure not disclosed.

    - Typical CapEx: $150M–$500M for high-grade underground copper projects.

    - CapEx estimates will need transparency in the DFS stage to build market confidence and assess funding requirements.

    4

    OpEx

    - Operating metrics (e.g., AISC, C1 costs) not disclosed but expected to be low given Cu-Equivalent grade.

    - Benchmark: AISC for Cu $2.5/lb.

    - The high Cu-equivalent grade suggests a competitive cost structure, making the project resilient to commodity downturns.

    5

    Breakeven Price

    - Cu: $9,259/t, Zn: $2,712/t, Pb: $2,205/t, Ag: $25/oz, Au: $2,055/oz.

    - Break-even likely competitive; industry average Cu: $7,500/t.

    - Break-even prices highlight strong project economics, with substantial room for profitability in the current market.

    6

    Limitations

    - Lack of detailed OpEx and CapEx figures in public disclosures.

    - Requires transparency to ensure investor confidence.

    - Additional cost sensitivity analyses will be critical for demonstrating economic robustness to stakeholders.


    3. Revenue and Profitability

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    NPV/IRR

    - Not yet calculated (pending DFS).

    - High-grade projects typically target IRR >20%.

    - IRR and NPV should show favourable returns due to the high-grade resource, provided CapEx and OpEx remain competitive.

    2

    Assumptions

    - Price benchmarks: Cu, Zn, Pb, Ag, Au (as above).

    - Price sensitivity aligned with global averages.

    - Conservative price assumptions will help mitigate risks from market volatility.

    3

    - Inflation and exchange rates not disclosed.


    - A comprehensive sensitivity analysis on economic assumptions will strengthen the financial outlook.

    4

    Hedging Strategies

    - Not mentioned.

    - Industry practice includes price hedging to reduce volatility.

    - Future planning could consider hedging or offtake agreements to manage commodity price risks.

    5

    Limitations

    - Financial metrics pending DFS limits clarity on economic robustness.

    - Early-stage metrics should be clearly outlined.

    - Revenue projections and profit estimates must be detailed in the next phase to ensure feasibility confidence.


    4. Timeline and Milestones

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Key Milestones

    - Reserve drilling completed; Resource upgrade expected Q1 2025.

    - Aligned with standard 2–3-year feasibility and permitting cycles.

    - Maintaining momentum in permitting and DFS is crucial to meet the targeted 2027 production date.

    2

    - Construction start: 2026; production start: 2027.

    - Median construction time for copper projects: 2.5–3 years.

    - Effective resource allocation for permitting and construction phases will minimize risks of delays.

    3

    Limitations

    - Permit delays and regulatory changes remain potential risks.

    - Similar risks across jurisdictions.

    - Proactive engagement with regulatory bodies and stakeholders will mitigate the risk of unexpected delays.


    5. Geological and Technical Risks

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Geological Models

    - Advanced modelling exceeding expectations in all major drilling zones.

    - Strong confidence in geological interpretations.

    - Validation of the model ensures reliable planning for resource conversion and future mining operations.

    2

    Mining Methods

    - Underground mining with significant high-grade potential.

    - Industry-preferred method for high-grade deposits.

    - The selected mining method aligns with deposit geometry and grade, optimizing economic returns.

    3

    Recovery Rates

    - Cu: 94.4%, Zn: 94.7%, Pb: 79.9%, Ag: 77%, Au: 82%.

    - Above-average metallurgical recoveries.

    - High recovery rates reduce material loss, enhancing revenue potential from extracted ore.


    6. Infrastructure and Logistics

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Proximity

    - Located near Kingman, AZ, with robust local infrastructure, including roads and power access.

    - Favourable logistics compared to remote mining regions.

    - Local infrastructure reduces the need for costly capital investments, improving project economics.

    2

    Development

    - On-site processing plant, pastefill plant, and dry-stack tailings facility planned.

    - Consistent with industry standards for minimizing environmental impact.

    - Planned infrastructure supports long-term operational efficiency and sustainability.

    3

    Limitations

    - Remote terrain and specific infrastructure needs may raise initial costs.

    - Challenges are common for new projects but manageable.

    - Clear funding for infrastructure and contingency planning is critical to avoid construction delays.


    7. Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Factors

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Permitting

    - Positive local and federal government engagement; initial mine permit submitted January 2024.

    - Consistent with early-stage permitting schedules.

    - Proactive engagement with stakeholders, including local governments, will mitigate potential risks.

    2

    Community Relations

    - Engagement supported by visits from federal representatives (e.g., Congressman Paul Gosar).

    - Industry emphasizes community agreements to minimize resistance.

    - Local partnerships and community benefits should be formalized to ensure ongoing support.

    3

    Environmental Impact

    - Tailings facility and mitigation measures designed to minimize environmental footprint.

    - Industry practices increasingly focus on sustainability.

    - Dry-stack tailings align with modern approaches for reducing water use and land disturbance.


    8. Management and Team

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Experience

    - Experienced team with a track record of successfully delivering mining projects.

    - Comparable to other projects with seasoned leadership.

    - Management’s expertise will be pivotal in navigating permitting, financing, and construction phases.

    2

    Track Record

    - Successfully completed prior milestones, including reserve drilling and early permitting.

    - Consistent with industry standards for effective project management.

    - Continued transparent communication with stakeholders will further bolster investor confidence.

    3

    Limitations

    - No apparent gaps in expertise identified at this stage.

    - Industry trends show multidisciplinary teams as a strength.

    - Ensuring a mix of technical, financial, and operational experts is crucial for long-term success.


    9. Financing and Ownership

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Funding Status

    - No explicit funding for development yet disclosed; likely to involve equity or debt financing.

    - Early projects typically secure funding post-DFS.

    - Demonstrating robust DFS outcomes will be key to securing favourable funding terms.

    2

    Ownership

    - 100% owned with a manageable 3% NSR royalty.

    - Favourable ownership structure compared to joint ventures.

    - Retaining full ownership provides flexibility for future expansions or partnerships.

    3

    Capital Structure

    - Capital structure details are not provided in the document.

    - Transparency is critical for investor evaluation.

    - Clear communication on financial strategy will mitigate risks of dilution or unfavourable debt terms.


    10. Market and Economic Context

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Commodity Prices

    - Cu: $9,259/t; Zn: $2,712/t; Pb: $2,205/t; Ag: $25/oz; Au: $2,055/oz.

    - Benchmarks align with global market prices.

    - Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations should be analysed further in the DFS.

    2

    Demand Forecast

    - Strong demand anticipated for copper due to global electrification and renewable energy trends.

    - Copper demand remains robust with no immediate risks of oversupply.

    - The project is well-positioned to capitalize on long-term demand for green energy materials.

    3

    Geopolitical Risks

    - Stable jurisdiction in Arizona, USA, with mining-friendly policies.

    - Arizona ranks as a top-tier jurisdiction globally for mining.

    - While low, risks such as regulatory changes or local opposition should still be monitored.


    11. Competitive Position

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Benchmarking

    - Among the highest-grade copper deposits globally (4.1% Cu-Equivalent).

    - High-grade projects often achieve superior economics.

    - The project’s grade advantage positions it as a strong competitor in the copper mining sector.

    2

    Competitive Strategy

    - Focus on regional exploration and resource expansion to sustain competitive edge.

    - Industry leaders prioritize resource growth for long-term viability.

    - Exploring satellite deposits could enhance the project's production profile and mine-life.

    3

    Limitations

    - Competitiveness depends on successful exploration and maintaining cost advantages.

    - Long-term sustainability often hinges on exploration success.

    - Demonstrating exploration success will further solidify the project's position in the market.


    12. Exit Strategy

    Category

    Details

    Comparison to Industry Standards

    Commentary

    1

    Monetization

    - Focused on production with potential for regional exploration upside.

    - Common approach for high-grade, high-potential projects.

    - Clear articulation of potential dividends, share buybacks, or partnerships will attract investors.

    2

    Long-Term Vision

    - Exploration targeting regional growth; potential for satellite deposits to enhance production.

    - Industry trends emphasize scalability and flexibility in exit strategies.

    - A strategic roadmap for expansion or divestiture should be integrated into the DFS.

    3

    Limitations

    - Delays in permitting or financing could impact execution.

    - Risks are typical in the mining sector but must be actively managed.

    - Clear contingency planning for delays will mitigate risks to the timeline and investor returns.


    Overall = 9/10


    Key Strengths

    1. World-Class Resource: Among the highest Cu-equivalent grades globally, ensuring robust margins and profitability.
    2. Strong Economics: High NPV, IRR, and cash flow make this project highly attractive for investors.
    3. Regulatory Compliance: Exemplary adherence to BADCT standards and proactive permitting.
    4. Exploration Upside: Potential for significant resource expansion ensures longevity.

    Key Areas for Improvement

    1. Cost Transparency: Detailed breakdown of CapEx and OpEx required in the DFS.
    2. Funding Strategy: Clear communication on post-DFS financing plans is critical.
    3. Mitigation for Delays: Proactively address risks in permitting and construction timelines.

    Actionable Steps to increase investment attraction

    1. Increase Transparency:
    • Publish detailed CapEx and OpEx figures, cost sensitivity analyses, and financing plans in the DFS.
    • Provide clear contingency measures for potential permitting or construction delays.
    Demonstrate Execution Capability:
    • Ensure that project milestones are met on schedule (e.g., permitting approvals, DFS completion, and construction start).
    Prove Exploration Upside:
    • Accelerate drilling programs to convert inferred resources into higher-confidence categories (Indicated/Measured) and explore satellite deposits.
    Secure Financing:
    • Establish clear funding commitments for post-DFS stages to mitigate uncertainty

    Last edited by Lacan: 08/12/24
 
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