Lets assume a little downside to the whole market it is starting look like it may happen. Lets assume Lynas profits goes up 6 x to $0.04. At same time there is a market correction lowering ASX average Pe to 20, Still 33% above long term average. That Lynas because of sector and still being the major source of oxides outside of China has a PE of 50. What would Lynas SP be? 50 X $0.04 = $2.00. I do not think Lynas would go this low there is a ground effect, it does give a better idea of what might happen. Because of decreases demand during a major correction commodity prices like REE usually decline.
Note if Lynas because of decreased earnings tied to of the depreciations of $1.6B in CAPX Will lose some of the ground effect. Note I am assuming profits increase to $0.04 not going into the red. $6M in profit 1st half of 2025 is very close to negative especially compared to 2nd half 2022 $294M, just 30 months between reports. Also remember in spite of revenue going from $237M 2nd half of 2024 to 242 M 1st half of 2025 UP 2 %, profits went from $33M to $6M down 82% What does Revenue going up a tinny and profits going down that much mean to all of you. Since the only amajor one time item was positive I think there are problems ahead. Why should I not think this?
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lynas rare earths limited
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Last
$10.19 |
Change
0.065(0.64%) |
Mkt cap ! $9.499B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$10.14 | $10.23 | $10.02 | $37.59M | 3.708M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
31 | 9910 | $10.18 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$10.19 | 4079 | 15 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
32 | 11000 | 10.180 |
23 | 12065 | 10.170 |
25 | 14134 | 10.160 |
14 | 19789 | 10.150 |
12 | 10249 | 10.140 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
10.190 | 4891 | 16 |
10.200 | 15906 | 24 |
10.210 | 5971 | 11 |
10.220 | 8029 | 11 |
10.230 | 50711 | 19 |
Last trade - 13.31pm 23/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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LYC (ASX) Chart |