Project Completion Timeline and Milestones
Quarter | Milestone | Progress | |
---|---|---|---|
Q3 2025 | Final EPA permit approval | 85% probability | |
Q1 2026 | First concrete poured | 60% probability | |
Q4 2027 | Commissioning begins | 45% probability | |
Q2 2028 | Commercial production | 30% probability |
The declining probability metrics reflect increasing uncertainty at each stage, with regulatory approvals and construction challenges posing ongoing risks.