Large scale 3d Printing possibilities, page-5

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    How much now and how much $$$ question was interesting

    Summary Table of US Navy Forecast spending

    CategoryFiscal Year(s)Amount (billion USD)Scope
    Ship Maintenance (base)FY 202616.2Depot-level repairs, hull-section replacements
    Ship Maintenance + ModernizationFY 2026~18–20Includes reconciliation funding
    Shipbuilding (new hull construction)FY 2024–2053 (avg)34–36New ships, major hull sections, structural frames

    Question what amount in $ could AML 3d extract from this summary?

    Adoption-Rate Scenarios
    Budget CategoryTotal ($B)Low (0.1%)Medium (1%)High (5%)
    Ship Maintenance (base)16.20.016 B0.162 B0.81 B
    Maintenance + Modernization19 (midpoint)0.019 B0.19 B0.95 B
    New-Hull Construction (annual)350.035 B0.35 B1.75 B

    Last question- What would this do to AML 3d market cap ( NB we are a MICRO CAP stock)

    Revenue Capture Scenarios

    We apply AML3D’s current Price/Sales multiple (8.16×) to each annual revenue scenario from US Navy adoption.

    ScenarioRevenue Capture (USD)Approx. AUD¹Implied Market Cap (AUD)Conservative$ 70 million$ 105 million$ 857 millionRealistic$ 702 million$ 1.05 billion$ 8.57 billionAggressive$ 3.51 billion$ 5.27 billion$ 43.0 billion

    ¹Assumes USD 1 = AUD 1.5


    Relative Upside

    Conservative scenario implies a ~6× uplift over today’s AUD 134 million.

    Realistic adoption could drive a ~64× expansion.

    Aggressive take-rate would multiply current market cap by ~320×.

    Impact on AML3D’s Market Capitalization

    Current Metrics

    Below are AML3D’s key valuation metrics as of mid-2025:

    Current market cap: AUD 134.44 millionPrice/Sales (ttm): 8.16×

    Revenue Capture Scenarios

    We apply AML3D’s current Price/Sales multiple (8.16×) to each annual revenue scenario from US Navy adoption.

    ScenarioRevenue Capture (USD)Approx. AUD¹Implied Market Cap (AUD)Conservative$ 70 million$ 105 million$ 857 millionRealistic$ 702 million$ 1.05 billion$ 8.57 billionAggressive$ 3.51 billion$ 5.27 billion$ 43.0 billion

    ¹Assumes USD 1 = AUD 1.5

    Relative Upside

    Conservative scenario implies a ~6× uplift over today’s AUD 134 million.Realistic adoption could drive a ~64× expansion.Aggressive take-rate would multiply current market cap by ~320×.

    Assumptions & Risks

    We’ve held P/S constant at 8.16×; in reality a big revenue jump could compress or expand that multiple.Currency conversion may vary—using 1 USD = 1.5 AUD for illustration.Time horizon matters: near-term pilot revenues won’t immediately translate into full-scale adoption.



 
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