Hi Ching
an interesting article you found.
For those interetsted in the references in it to M. King Hubbert (a Shell geologist in the 1950's) and his mathematical and statistical models he developed to predict the decline of oil production in different fields, there is a good introductory article in Scientific American "The End of Cheap Oil" by Colon J Campbell and Jean H. Laherrere - March 1998
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hdr $5? sailorgirl, you are a pessimist., page-2
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