I really can see Abbott being ousted and replaced by Turnbull within the next 12 months. As much as I would like a change, labor will stick with Guillard because it is a minority govt and must appear rock solid. Guillard will eventually find her sea-legs and be more electable in 2 years time. If you recall Howard's first term, the libs were looking like a one term govt. I can't see Labor winning against Turnbull though.