QGC queensland gas company limited

big upside 38 > 52

  1. 549 Posts.
    As no-one seems to be covering this company, and as I just became a shareholder, I'll post this BUY recommendation from a large broker:

    Valuation and risks to target price
    Our DCF valuation using a WACC of 9.42% for the CS Energy contract for 6PJ per year for 15 years from mid 2006 is 10c per QGC share based on fully expanded
    issued capital (assuming A$10m raised with the current SPP). The Incitec Pivot contract is valued at 8c per QGC share. Real upside lies with the Chinchilla power
    station, and the potential for profitable gas sales into a base load power station. The probability has increased, and upside potential to the size of the station has also
    added value, with our valuation of this A$0.32 per QGC share. The realisation of the Gibson Island power station and expansion of production into other gas contracts
    would also add to our valuation. We have risked this down to 6c per share.

    Valuation snapshot
    Fair value* (A$) 0.52
    Target price (A$) 0.52
    Current price (A$) 0.38
    Upside/downside 22%
    * Methodology DCF
    Assumptions
    WACC 9.42%
    Beta 1.18
    Equity risk premium 4.50%
    Risk-free rate 5.25%

    R,
    do your research
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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