I am interest in this stock because price is history low.
resource look good.
mining output look good too.
their cost/sale price on presentation look good (cost around $50, export price ~$100)
but on their 2011 statement: - revenue = 50mil (sold 0.8m ton, what is sale price???) - cost of sales = 47mil !!!!! OMG other cost: -- Finance cost = 11mil ( can cut down to 3mil in 2012) -- impairement = 11.8m (can remove in 2012) -- Depreciation = 4.3m (stay same in 2012) -- Other expense = 23mil !!! ( can reduce to 9mil in 2012)
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so let try work out 2012 profit:
Sale = double output = 100mil Cost of sale = 75mil (base on 25% gross profit margin) ----------------------- Gross Profit = 25mil
Finance cost = 3mil interest on load Depreciation = 4.3mil Employee = 4m (was 2.5 on 2011, need hire more staff) Director = 3m other expense = 2m
--------------------- EBITDA = 25-16.3 = 8.7mil
No TAX because they lost money in previous year.
Possible Error: - Gross Profit margin may changed (eg, Bought in Coal is HUGE cost in their statement) - do 2012 still have "prepaid borrow cost"? - do 2012 still have 9.8m consultant cost ? - do 2012 still have any impairement cost ? (2011 = 11mil)
overall their gross profit margin is too small, they need higher export quality coal, domestic sale price is too low and can't make profit.
CCC Price at posting:
18.5¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held