GXY 0.00% $5.28 galaxy resources limited

galaxy, the bonanza no one cares about., page-18

  1. 22,854 Posts.
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    Thank you salty for the post.

    There have been other general reports comparing the costs of brine vs
    hard rock li-carbonate which said that hard rock costs were about
    $4500/ton while brine was about $2000/ton. I tend to favour these
    estimates.

    My honest belief is that GXY's margin will be about $2000/ton
    or $34 mil profit p/a . (Keep in mind that at present Mt Catlin
    is producing at a loss.)

    Also, a p/e of 10 for an emerging producer is optimistic. Emerging gold miners, for example, at this stage of development normally have a forward p/e
    significantly less than 10.

    So my take on GXY is $34 mil x 8 forward p/e is $272 mil or just about where it is now. Improved li-carbonate grade could increase forward profit by about
    $17 mil p/a but we will have to wait for factory results for confirmation.

    On the down side, however, a chemical hitch with the plant could see a sp
    drop which would make the company vulnerable to a cheap buy-out.

    Cheers
    Moorookamick
 
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