FOREX-Dollar edges lower before Fed statement

  • Investors await Fed policy statement at 2 p.m. (1800 GMT)
  • Mexican peso rebounds after losses tied to major earthquake
  • Kiwi jumps as poll shows National Party leads before election

(Updates market action, changes dateline, previous LONDON)

The dollar edged lower on Wednesday, as investors waited to see whether the Federal Reserve would signal it may raise interest rates again later this year even as inflation has remained below its 2 percent goal.

The U.S. central bank is expected to release its latest policy statement at 2 p.m. (1800 GMT) after a two-day meeting where investors expected policymakers would decide to embark on a reduction of the Fed's $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October.

Fed officials for weeks have signaled a move to shrink the U.S. central bank's holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities.

"It's not going to be so significant for the dollar at this stage," said Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto.

What will drive the greenback in coming weeks will be the Fed's confidence on whether inflation would reach its 2 percent target and how many further rate increases it expects to carry out.

The recent deadly hurricanes that caused catastrophic damage in two southern U.S. states might force the Fed to postpone a rate increase until next year, analysts said.

"The impact of the hurricanes may delay an increase so that's a risk," Osborne said.

The index that measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies was 0.07 percent lower at 91.732 and not far from the 2-1/2-year low struck on Sept. 8. .DXY

The index has slid more than 11 percent this year, as expectations for pro-growth, pro-inflation policies from U.S. President Donald Trump have diminished, complicating the Fed's monetary policy path.

The futures market implied traders saw a 57 percent chance of a December rate increase FFZ7 FFF8 , little changed from on Tuesday, CME Group's FedWatch tool showed.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 gained 0.8 percent at $0.7378 after reaching its highest level in 6-1/2 weeks as one poll showed the country's National Party pulled ahead of the rival Labour Party ahead of a general election this weekend.

Support for the National Party jumped 6 points to 46 percent, according to the One News-Colmar Brunton opinion poll, while support for the opposition Labour party slumped by seven points to 37 percent.

Among emerging market currencies, the Mexican peso MXN=D2 recovered from Tuesday's losses spurred by a second deadly earthquake that struck the country in two weeks.

The Mexican currency was last up 0.5 percent at 17.71 peso per dollar MXN=D2 following a 0.2 percent decline on Tuesday.

========================================================  
    Currency bid prices at 10:41AM (1441 GMT)  
 Description      RIC         Last           U.S. Close  Pct Change     YTD Pct     High Bid    Low Bid  
                                              Previous                   Change                   
                                              Session                                             
 Euro/Dollar      EUR=        $1.1999        $1.1992     +0.06%         +14.13%     +1.2020     +1.1987  
 Dollar/Yen       JPY=        111.4400       111.5800    -0.13%         -4.65%      +111.6400   +111.2400  
 Euro/Yen         EURJPY=     133.71         133.82      -0.08%         +8.58%      +134.0100   +133.5100  
 Dollar/Swiss     CHF=        0.9625         0.9625      +0.00%         -5.43%      +0.9634     +0.9596  
 Sterling/Dollar  GBP=        1.3567         1.3507      +0.44%         +9.98%      +1.3607     +1.3497  
 Dollar/Canadian  CAD=        1.2256         1.2288      -0.26%         -8.74%      +1.2300     +1.2235  
 Australian/Doll  AUD=        0.8064         0.8009      +0.69%         +11.77%     +0.8071     +0.8000  
 ar                                                                                               
 Euro/Swiss       EURCHF=     1.1547         1.1543      +0.03%         +7.74%      +1.1557     +1.1523  
 Euro/Sterling    EURGBP=     0.8842         0.8877      -0.39%         +3.80%      +0.8888     +0.8827  
 NZ               NZD=        0.7385         0.7317      +0.93%         +6.40%      +0.7388     +0.7304  
 Dollar/Dollar                                                                                    
 Dollar/Norway    NOK=        7.7874         7.7982      -0.14%         -9.84%      +7.8122     +7.7746  
 Euro/Norway      EURNOK=     9.3445         9.3532      -0.09%         +2.85%      +9.3705     +9.3328  
 Dollar/Sweden    SEK=        7.9408         7.9503      -0.08%         -12.81%     +7.9605     +7.9327  
 Euro/Sweden      EURSEK=     9.5281         9.5356      -0.08%         -0.54%      +9.5455     +9.5242  
      
    <^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^  
The dollar index's decline (YTD)    http://reut.rs/2xPcIuM  

Kiwi-dollar jumps on election poll http://reut.rs/2xRlPvc World FX rates in 2017 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

    ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>                


To read reuters' full disclaimer click here
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.