Area51,
I have a simple solution to your problem. Sell your shares and get out.
As you seem to feel this deal is not real, you should not be invested here. Why would you continue to hold a stock that you think has no hand to play- that is unless you are secretly hoping it does pan out so you can cash in like the believers.
Or you bought high and are in deeper than you would like to be.
Binary decision:
Deal on- stay in
Deal off- get out
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