Recommendation: For an estimated $77 million, Antares has purchased Permian Basin leases which when fully developed, could have an NPV of over $500 million or $1.75 per share. The company?s net cash and hydrocarbon assets, valued largely at cost, underpin a value of 38 cent per share, with risked development upside lifting target value to $1.32 per share.
After payment for its Permian Basin lease purchases, drilling and completion costs at the Harrison well and ongoing share buyback activity, Antares is estimated to hold about $48 million of cash but has a likely tax liability of about $20 million relating to the sale of its McMullen County assets. Permian assets are valued at close to their purchase price with risked development upside shown as Exploration Value. The company?s estimated net $28 million of cash after tax payments but before repayment of $15 million of convertible note debt, provides the company with adequate capital backing to run a substantial development drilling programme on its Permian Basin leases, building production and cash flow from an estimated current level of around $10 million pa to a level which should support ongoing field development.
AZZ Price at posting:
42.5¢ Sentiment: LT Buy Disclosure: Held