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why 40% chance to grow 5x

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A8Energy

384 Posts.

24

02/09/20

10:09

Post #: 47012129
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Originally posted by Sweetaf: ↑

Whilst I agree the title of the thread is a 'little optimistic' I like the sentiment. In response to a few of the comments on this thread, and some general sentiment, I have not and would not bet the house on this, but now is the time, IMO for a flutter with a small parcel of cash you can afford to loose. Management and market knowledge is everything and I think the new team give this stock a fighting chance to grow big.

My reflection on stock risk (with current team, 12 month horizon)
30% chance of failure - stock drifts to nothing, or heavily diluted
10% chance goes nowhere
20% chance of modest gains in the short term with small wins accumulating
40% chance of significant evidence of progress to greater things (major event sponsors etc) with 5x plus growth.

I believe this stock has more chance of winning than losing in the short term, but not without no small amount of risk. I think anyone trying to value this stock will struggle. It will be growth perception based in the short term, with a constant weighing of 'potential'. Obviously not advice, entirely my opinion, and held until it isn't (the stock and opinion, that is )

Note: my 'buy' sentiment holds the caveat 'with any cash you can afford to lose!'

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why 40% chance to grow 5x

ESH Price at posting: 1.5¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held
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(20min delay)
Last 1.8¢		Change 0.001(5.88%)		Mkt cap ! $10.69M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
1.7¢	1.8¢	1.7¢	$5.168K	302.0K

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
1	122617	1.7¢

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
1.8¢	101524	2

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
1	122617	0.017
1	2500000	0.016
4	609223	0.015
7	1665285	0.014
6	1542307	0.013

Price($)	Vol.	No.
0.018	101524	2
0.019	360996	2
0.020	828162	7
0.021	1582471	7
0.022	3184545	3

Last trade - 15.06pm 18/10/2024 (20 minute delay)

LU7 (ASX) Chart