Based on the Hartley's report and erring on the side of conservative - I suspect we're likely to top at 9-10c and hit 15-20c on news of a JV. 30c+ will likely occur pre-spud. 9c+ is a good time to lock in some profits and re-enter if the share price retraces on lack of news. I would expect an announcement post July based on a rough time line+estimation.
Due diligence and contract negotiation take time - more so for the amount of money and logistics involved in offshore drilling. If there is more than 1 party than this will only drag things further.
If there is no news from now to July onwards and assuming the JV announcement is post-July than we can expect the sp to retrace, especially if the All-ords takes a battering due to external economic reasons (i.e european debt, slow recovery etc), in which case this will present ample buying opportunities to re-enter or top-up. With this stock, I have found riding the waves can net you more $$ than waiting for the JV announcement itself.
In the end there is a limit on SP appreciation to how far speculation can go, but if you read between the lines and time your entry right, there's plenty of $$ to be made.
The people who weren't burnt badly by the Shell experience are the ones who took some profit when we hit 15c prior to the announcement. I hope we learn from our mistakes.
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Last
49.5¢ |
Change
-0.015(2.94%) |
Mkt cap ! $45.74M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
50.5¢ | 50.5¢ | 49.0¢ | $206.7K | 414.7K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 85024 | 49.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
49.5¢ | 39845 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 85024 | 0.490 |
2 | 104597 | 0.485 |
2 | 110000 | 0.480 |
1 | 100000 | 0.475 |
1 | 100000 | 0.470 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.495 | 39845 | 1 |
0.500 | 481048 | 2 |
0.510 | 152895 | 4 |
0.515 | 103300 | 2 |
0.520 | 421965 | 4 |
Last trade - 15.38pm 04/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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