TCL 0.16% $12.77 transurban group

Here is a tip to valuing TCL... look at traffic volumes for all...

  1. 212 Posts.
    Here is a tip to valuing TCL...

    look at traffic volumes for all the motorways as per the asx announcements. Multiply them by the toll prices.

    Apply a 2% CPI growth to prices and a 2.5% average compound traffic growth rate.

    Each motorway is like a bond in that the concession period is locked in.

    Use a 7% WACC

    When I did this a while back i valued the Company at $9.50.

    However that didnt include Northconnex or the Westconnex.

    This is not like SGH, where the assets are intangible and the market competitive.

    These are tangible infrastructure assets and they have a monopoly.
 
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$12.77
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$12.73 $12.77 $12.64 $39.03M 3.066M

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