It's almost a 50/50 bet: one good announcement and it doubles ( or more),
but one bad (or none) and it is just about. Once you take into account their record over the last twelve months, you'd bet on the fish. So a "sell" is entirely rational, even if it turns out to be wrong.
As well as that, there doesn't seem to be even rumours of a take over or merger, so maybe the technology and potential contracts/partnerships aren't worth even 10-15 cents/share
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