NDO 1.16% 85.0¢ nido education limited

18.5m put through, page-17

  1. 5,784 Posts.
    re: 18.5m put through - gryphon1 Gryphon1 - thanks for the update and the effort put in by you over there.

    As for the share price if 13,000 bopd to Nido and a pe of 10 - I will have a crack at a few numbers - just to stir up a few - lol! These numbers are just what if's - not an opinion on likelihood of them occuring!! ...

    Lets take the estimates on page 29 of the Nido September presentation (here - http://www.nido.com.au/files/presentations/Company%20Presentation_0.pdf) ...

    The numbers on page 29 are based on approx 4,000 bopd to Nido - so lets times these by 3.25 for the 13,000 bopd figure as Gryphon1 mentioned.

    There are 3 oil prices - US$40, US$50 and US$60 and I will make the assumption just for simplicity that the conversion of US$ to $A negates roughly the company tax rate - this is close and all we need to then is understand that the US$ numbers become A$ exactly as per that page 28 and then extrapolate and get an eps and the pe - here goes...

    Number of shares used = 853,147,274 fully diluted

    Oil Price US$40 a barrel
    ----------------------

    after tax $ --> A$43.9 million * 3.25 = $A142.67 million

    e.p.s = 16.7 cps
    on a p.e. of 10 the share price = $1.67


    Oil Price US$50 a barrel
    ----------------------

    after tax $ --> A$57.1 million * 3.25 = $A185.57 million

    e.p.s = 21.7 cps
    on a p.e. of 10 the share price = $2.17

    Oil Price US$60 a barrel
    ----------------------

    after tax $ --> A$70.4 million * 3.25 = $A228.8 million

    e.p.s = 26.8 cps
    on a p.e. of 10 the share price = $2.68


    If anyone just wants to do a rough calc of just Galoc as per the September presentation and a p.e. of 10 then just divide each share price above by 3.25








 
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