SIR 0.00% $2.52 sirius resources nl

teatimenowcoming up with an npv is easy. there's nothing odd...

  1. 8,724 Posts.
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    teatimenow

    coming up with an npv is easy. there's nothing odd about the numbers, it's not a case of believing them or not.

    they are estimates based on
    - what is known about the orebody so far, grades/strip etc,
    - industry opex costs and capex costs for similar developments
    - and estimated recovery and payable rates

    in Canada or Australia, this is par for the course.

    I actually think hartleys have been pretty conservative
    - 14% discount rate
    - 65% payability
    - 85% recoveries
    these are conservative numbers

    what is unknown is whether the tonnage will be there ?
    and I don't know either, but
    - the mkt seems to think so,
    - the large shareholders that I know seem to think so
    - and the drilling so far is backing up the initial targets (non-company targets)

    we'll all just have to wait and see

    good luck with your short
 
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