I have been trading for over twenty years and every time I was...

I have been trading for over twenty years and every time I was "certain" about an outcome I usually had my head handed to me. One can have an educated view but it is never possible to predict every market variable. It is actually a strength to not know because you are then not married to your position and will exit easily if the market proves your incorrect. Be humble Te for the market takes no prisoners. It is a lesson I had to learn the hard way.