Maybe 5,000,000,000 people will catch the virus assuming vaccines start to roll in wealthier countires by mid 2021. If 1% of those people die it would imply 500,000,000 deaths.
What is not so simple it the longer term health implications.
Organ damage associated with fibrosis doesn't reverse itself. There is no influenza type recovery. Post covid heart inflamaton is COMMON. To the extent that a proportion (albeit a small %) of healthy heart cells maybe replaced with scar tissue who knows what the long term prognosis may be but I'll guess. Congestive heart failure in DECADES TO COME. The impact on the kidneys, spleen, liver and lungs can also be dire.
Now if I expand this to a global scale .......................
