TVN 0.00% 5.6¢ tivan limited

2017 DFS Projection

  1. 357 Posts.
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    Jvest decided to have a crack at the revised DFS fundamentals pre release:

    I've worked through the fundamentals of the 2015 DFS & come up with the possible upside revisions:

    Avg. ann. production cashflow - A$942m
    LOM Cashflow (extended to 34 yrs from 17 based on V resource extension) - $13.9B
    NPV (includes minimal 20% Tivan effect-major upside) - A$5.9B
    IRR (includes minimal 20% Tivan effect-major upside) - 45%

    Assumptions:
    EIS in approval complete for Peake in 2017
    EIS approval complete for Tivan refinery in 2018
    Ti offtake agreement complete in 2017
    NAIF funding of $50m complete in 2017
    German ExIM financing deal for Tivan refinery complete in 2017
    Downer/Catepiller equity in Peake build agreed as part of Peake finance
    2 year timeline build for Peake including Refinery

    Clearly, Company value & SP will be contingent on all assumptions being completed.

    If we achieve these financials, they would be outstanding.

    We are close, very close.

    Just my thoughts.

    Jvest.
 
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