Let’s assume IT or AI it META companies are valued at 100 times earnings on average over their growth phase..
BRN is priced in now at circa $1.1bill or $11mill in earnings
Let’s say end of next year $20mill in earnings BRN is $2bill
$50mill earnings end of 2023 BRN is $5bill.
Now if we assume the market is a $50bill market by then and BRN takes a 3% royalty on average, then $50mill earnings is 3.3% market share in a market it is 3 years ahead of the pack as a first mover..
eg. Simple maths
$50billion Market by 2024
100% market share at 3% royalty =$1.5billion
3.3% market share at 3% royalty= $50million.
$50mill earnings = circa $5billion valuation..
Now if BRN is actually as disruptive as is suggested let’s say 20% market share and first mover advantage, then BRNs market valuation is circa $30billion in just a few short years..
This is the way I see and value BRN..
Minimum $4-5 per share in two years with potential upside of another $20per share..
The $20-25 per share could entail new industries not yet realised or the underestimation of the size of the Edge market at $50-60bill in 5 years.. What if it were $150billion?
Look out is all I can say when earnings start gaining traction. It’s quite frightful how large BRN could become.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- BRN
- 2021 BRN Discussion
2021 BRN Discussion, page-33134
-
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 447 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add BRN (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
18.0¢ |
Change
-0.010(5.26%) |
Mkt cap ! $352.6M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
18.5¢ | 19.0¢ | 18.0¢ | $1.287M | 7.036M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
62 | 1437090 | 18.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
18.5¢ | 524059 | 7 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
61 | 1429868 | 0.180 |
47 | 1479376 | 0.175 |
54 | 1513225 | 0.170 |
18 | 313455 | 0.165 |
34 | 929685 | 0.160 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.185 | 524059 | 7 |
0.190 | 1046978 | 26 |
0.195 | 1010971 | 16 |
0.200 | 1088806 | 26 |
0.205 | 1026608 | 19 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 02/08/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
BRN (ASX) Chart |