4DS 3.23% 9.0¢ 4ds memory limited

2023 CHART THREAD, page-323

  1. 3,339 Posts.
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    I had another look at the 4DS chart and noticed a couple of other things. First, note that it is tracking the path drawn a couple of days ago. This looks to me to definitely be on the rise:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5462/5462055-2b9664141626813db4e7caf657b8721e.jpg

    There is also a large declining wedge formed which is very near the breakout point (2/3rds along plus). The wedge has 3.3c height. When a declining wedge breaks the target is upwards and between 50% of the fall and 100% of the vertical height of the wedge both of which approximate 3.3c at my expected breakout in wave 5. The wave 3 break is unlikely to be sustained because of the W4 pull down. A wedge break is often back tested which would fit with the correction wave following wave 5. In any case the break out predicts a wave 5 target of about 7c if it breaks late Aug as predicted (much higher than the 4 - 4.5c predicted under EW rules earlier. That implies a 100% profit for an investment taken now, or later if w4 falls to the level predicted. Note that W4 usually retraces 38% of wave 3 BUT it can also do 14% and 23%, and much less often 50%. You can see this effect in the previous 5 step impulse wave where W4 declined significantly more than 50%. If more than 50% it has probably failed and W5 will not reach a target above W3. Under the circumstances of this wedge I would not be surprised to see the next W4 be shallower than predicted, possibly 23%. In any case the chart is suggesting a general rise from here over the next couple of months.
 
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