Totally still a gamble, and having a big bet on this - so very keen to see it soar.
i guess I'm pointing my observations / thoughts out for the more panicky posters, there are a few who seem to think the re-rate is imminent or even overdue. While I would love the price to be higher, the more I think about it the more I'm convinced we now have to wait for PL5&6 as the catalyst (as I said before we are now closer to that than we are to PL4).
I think 4DS is somewhat known about in the right circles, but the indications are that a working 20nm platform lot is what is required for them to really pay attention... It was really telling when DM said "imec said if we get a working 20nm chip they'll personally take us to meet 5 household names"... That is to say imec won't take us right now. even if conversations are had now, they're likely just going to be introductory and positioning - letting them know where we're up to and forecasting what will come from PL5&6... Not much that will do to share price.
im not so convinced the WD JDA is adding much value any more - I mean what are they contributing to the process if 4DS is not focussing so much on the SCM path? some could say the JDA now holds a bigger liability in the discounted licencing agreement... The fact they're only now catching up for a meeting when PL4 results have been out for 7 months (22 August was "megabit success") seems like they're not showing much interest anymore. I could be wrong, but if you were thinking of throwing your check book around, wouldn't you be all over this?
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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