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MarketingMan

5,765 Posts.

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25/02/19

08:41

Post #: 37550846
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Originally posted by Ashes86: ↑

I Agree MM

Im a little unclear as to what the 2P statement will include - i.e. does it include all constituent Syngases - or all salable products beyond just methane? I mean a copper gold mine for example will have a JORC statement including grades and quantities of both minerals, so for mine it stands to reason that the upgraded statement will contain all salable products. Its an unconventional resource, so not sure how this plays out to be honest.

Also - the way i read pg 12 Appendix (PRMS Explained) from latest corporate announcement is that the coal resource statement (JORC) is being updated, after which the gas resource statement will be updated (and upgraded) with the PCD data (excerpt below).

It reads to me as though the 65% geological risk weighting will still be applied, but the 80% ISG process risk wont be - as that is now a known in terms of gas recovery per tonne of coal. Its an unconventional resource, so not sure how this plays out to be honest.

Although i do agree that through the life of the asset they wont be able to recover all the available gas as others have pointed out they will need to leave pillars between spend gasifier chambers (full of ash) to stave off ground subsidence, that wont actually affect the size of the resource upgrade - only recoverable GJs across life of asset.

Just food for thought, a Trading Halt will come through any day/week now and we will have our answer

Also - subject lien for this thread ignores that the 50PJ/pa was 'surplus to requirements' as per the EOI advertisement....

Leigh Creek Energy Limited Pathway to 2P Reserves and Urea Production Society of Petroleum Engineers – Petroleum Resource Management System (PRMS) is the internationally recognized standard for reporting oil and gas resources and reserves.PRMS is the petroleum equivalent to the Australian JORC system for minerals .

1 – JORC coal resource updated – COMMENCED AND OUTCOME PENDING

2 – PCD outcome audit – gas quality and flow rate data recorded during the PCD operation is third party reviewed. Key information sought is the process efficiency and the amount of syngas energy produced per tonne of coal that is gasified – DONE
- Current 2C – 377Mt x 65% geological risk and 80T% process risk x 15.2 GJ syngas per tonne of coal = c. 3000 PJ

3 – Certification – PRMS consultant will assess the ISG recoverable coal tonnes (on a risk basis) then multiply the tonnes of coal by the recovered syngas energy value to give a total amount of recoverable Syngas on a PJ basis – COMMENCED AND OUTCOME PENDING

Expand

Nice expansion with detail on my comment.
Seems LCK will be spoilt for choices for how best to commercialize the resource going forward.
Prior to announcing a successful pilot, LCK were skewed toward fertilizer, however, the narrative since seems to be talking-up a gas play.
And power generation is still an option.

Guess they will be running a ruler over all options and modelling to optimise ROI.

However, a takeover is also a possibility.

IMO
DYOR

LCK Price at posting: 20.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
5 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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50 Pj per year, page-25

Week 31 Wrap: JORC rules to get tougher; RBA rate hike chance 50/50; US Fed Sept cut still the quo

GreenX picks up prospective copper project in Germany

Vmoto sales plummet -50% YoY as weak demand in Europe & China stifles EV scooter sales growth

Venture to sniff out high-grade REE targets at Jupiter project, WA

Is oil undervalued?

Westgold sets its sights on top five producer status through merger with Karora

Uranium prices on the NYMEX are stable, but ASX uranium stocks are sinking on Friday. The answer lies in Kazakhstan

Commodity house Trafigura funds Develop Global's copper-zinc Woodlawn play with offtake deal in place

Collaboration in a green (steel) future the focus for Magnum and Saudi partners

Cost blow-out for Rook I uranium project sees share plummet for NexGen

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50 Pj per year, page-25

Top Stories

Week 31 Wrap: JORC rules to get tougher; RBA rate hike chance 50/50; US Fed Sept cut still the quo

GreenX picks up prospective copper project in Germany

Vmoto sales plummet -50% YoY as weak demand in Europe & China stifles EV scooter sales growth

Venture to sniff out high-grade REE targets at Jupiter project, WA

Is oil undervalued?

Westgold sets its sights on top five producer status through merger with Karora

Uranium prices on the NYMEX are stable, but ASX uranium stocks are sinking on Friday. The answer lies in Kazakhstan

Commodity house Trafigura funds Develop Global's copper-zinc Woodlawn play with offtake deal in place

Collaboration in a green (steel) future the focus for Magnum and Saudi partners

Cost blow-out for Rook I uranium project sees share plummet for NexGen

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Buyers (Bids)

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