From my reading its now a race between management cutting the...

From my reading its now a race between management cutting the debt via sales & prospective buyers like sceptre who want to take over the lot and flog off for profit the bits they don't want.
If management wins the race - we'll see around 2 bil knocked off the debt which will see any chance of an S&P downgrade muted for the foreseeable future - once the debt is not an issue then the sp re-rates as the market then focuses on what Santos has and what the future will hold in regards revenue - the big scare wasn't so much the poo as it was the debt but the lower poo made servicing the debt harder..and the threat of a future downgrade like what happened to Origin who felt compelled to CR at a low point..

My money is on STO management winning this battle - they only need to shave something around $1.5-2 bil off the debt and projected revenues will take care of the rest going forward. If they keep say 10% of the png lng that's good - if they keep all of their glng operation that's good - if they sell off Asia and WA & some of png lng then they might raise $2bil to $3bil the market will like it especially 3 bil and they won't need to do a CR so that threat would be gone as well and it will re-rate then the likes of sceptre will be looking at a Santos SP of well North of $7 and that will mean they will need to offer even more to make it attractive.