XJO 0.30% 8,099.9 s&p/asx 200

I actually looked at the two times you're referring...

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    I actually looked at the two times you're referring to

    17/09/01
    17/09/08

    and now 13/10/23

    Here's what I found

    In '01 SPX tanked from that session and wiped around 13.5% over the next week.
    It then ripped up for the next few months, then onto a distribution phase for a few months then went on to wipe out around 35% in the next few quarters.

    In '08 SPX tanked in that session, wiping around 4% that day.
    The next two days had a 4% gain each day.
    Directly after the second green day the index wiped out around 47% over the next few quarters.

    Can we take anything from these precedents?
    I think the one thing we can expect is volatility - so I'm happy I'm already in VIX calls.

    Directionally I don't think it'll be straight forward (hence the volatility) but if history repeats then bears may have the edge but it'll likely take a lot longer to play out than most bears are ready for.

    I've attached a couple of screenshots from the iPad - they usually come out pretty blurry on HC but Macs are busy rn so hopefully you guys can make out charts provided...
    .
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5654/5654204-84177e47bba4921d269e92097631a220.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5654/5654207-6cbd75739c15544ad1e6b887d4caa0c6.jpg
 
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