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S&P/ASX200 Weekly Seasonality (repost in new thread)

The first week of August is done and it is time to break down the Weekly seasonality of the ASX200

As you all know S&P/ASX200, Australia's premier stock market index, has consistently outperformed since its 1900 inception, returning 13.2% CAGR with 23 negative years and 99 positive years. Comprising the top 200 companies on the ASX, it reflects the dynamism of Australia's economy and serves as a vital gauge of its health.

The month of October consists of weeks 40-43 with this year having 2 days in week 44.

The index since 1993 in October has returned just under 1% on average and is the fourth most bullish month of the year and paves the way for Q4



The relative week-to-week gains are as follows with the first-week returning on average 0.3% and the second week returning very similair week on week gains



The SFE SPI 200 APY00 (Cash) returned +0.22% this week after rebounding off the lows on the back of news major global news and the financial sector




Looking ahead, based on seasonality we can expect further gains into the month of October, but traders must be weary as US earnings season approaches and the risk that still lie in front of us

• A further slowdown in the global economy & China
• Higher cost of capital
• Higher costs for labour, energy, and materials, and
• Geopolitical tensions

Stay safe out there and remember capital preservation above everything

- Chase