Hey Puzzled,
"If there are four Phase III trials with each at 0.5 probablity of success the probability that at least one will be successful is 0.9375 i.e., almost 94%."
So what is the probability that 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 targeted indications will have significant sales in Japan by the end of 2014?
Hey Puzzled, "If there are four Phase III trials with each at...
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