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access to coal, page-8

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    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1869
    200 million is only the conservative start at $5 per ton.
    The real money flow will be in the concessions obtained from CPRS, Copenhagen results are Dec 2009.
    Add the benefits of water supply to power operators.
    QUARTER OF MELBOURNES WATER SUPPLY USED by power operators,? the proposed recycled water from werribee has been cancelled, so where is the continuous supply going to be from.
    Hopefully not from the desalination plant ,otherwise electricity prices will surely double.

    An interesting article ,with thanks to a hopeful english cricket supporter.

    http://www.businessday.com.au/business/browncoal-dependence-to-last-decades-20090809-ee7e.html

    Brown-coal dependence to 'last decades'Philip Hopkins
    August 10, 2009
    VICTORIA will still need brown coal for its electricity for decades,
    according to a union leader, despite the threatened loss of thousands
    of jobs in the state under the Federal Government's emissions trading
    scheme.

    Secretary of the Victorian Trades Hall Council Brian Boyd said
    Victoria was dependent on brown coal and would be for ''30, 50, 100
    years''.

    ''That's really the truth of it, whether you like it or not,'' Mr Boyd
    told an industry forum in Melbourne organised by the Victorian
    Employers Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

    VECCI chief Wayne Kayler-Thomson had asked forum speakers to comment
    on a VECCI report that estimated 29,000 jobs would be lost in Victoria
    by 2020, based on a 10 per cent cut in carbon dioxide emissions.

    The report, by Brian Fisher, of Concept Economics, said 45,000 jobs
    would be lost in Victoria by 2020, real wages would be cut by 3 per
    cent by 2020, and investment would be down by 2.7 per cent.

    The economic costs to the state would happen by 2014. Key industries
    such as manufacturing and non-ferrous metal production, including
    aluminium, would be badly affected because they relied on cheap
    electricity from Latrobe Valley brown coal, the report said.

    Brown coal supplies more than 90 per cent of Victoria's electricity,
    but produces a lot of carbon dioxide making it vulnerable to a cost on
    carbon.

    Under the proposed carbon pollution reduction scheme (CPRS), the
    Federal Government will cut greenhouse emissions by a minimum 5 per
    cent by 2020 and 15 per cent if there is an international agreement by
    the big economies.

    Consultant Nicholas Gruen said most companies would be able to adjust
    to a carbon price.

    ''Unless you're in some heavy energy-intensive business, it's
    basically a non-issue,'' Mr Gruen said. ''Seen over a reasonable
    period of time, say 20 years, electricity prices might double.

    ''Good - our hospital bills may double over that time, too. That is a
    big long-run, structural adjustment, and it will be the same for
    everyone. Everyone will adjust.''

    Australian National University emeritus professor Bob Gregory said
    brown coal was a problem.

    But he said he never believed Victoria's future was dependent on it.

    ''There will be clearly problems in Gippsland … the future of brown
    coal will not exist unless they clean it up,'' he said.

    Mr Boyd said governments were encouraging the use of technology to
    clean up brown coal, but current technology would only bring emissions
    down to the level of black coal in NSW.

    ''There is no real plan to get us off the brown coal dependency,'' he
    said.

    VECCI will hold several industry forums before a Victoria business
    summit on November 17
 
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