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Technical analysis at the bottom, thanks for reading.One company...

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    Technical analysis at the bottom, thanks for reading.
    One company I've invested in is ACG(Atcor Medical). This is a decent post I've spent a little while preparing so please spend 5-10 minutes reading about Sphygmocor. It is the "gold standard" in measuring arterial stiffness non-invasively.
    This company is cash-flow positive, has $2.8m cash on hand with respected, consistent and long term management. It has a market cap of $17.5m and compared against other companies(valued currently on market at $100m) that don't have revenue, income, casflow positive, low issue copared with say 1b shares, this is probably the cheapest and one of the best companies around. I find this 5 times undervalued and would expect it to be more valued correctly at $0.77c
    This will be 20c+ within a few weeks as technically it's starting a re-rate. Once 0.14c is broken, 20c will be reached. The flavour of the market with current biotech/medical companies, is to have their options converted in FPO's to bring in some cash and ACG has a good amount of 0.215c options coming up in October 2013.

    http://www.atcormedical.com.au/

    AtCor Medical Holdings Limited (ASX:ACG), the developer and marketer of the SphygmoCor®
    system which measures central aortic blood pressures and arterial stiffness non-invasively, today
    announced net profit after tax of $2.7 million for FY2013, compared with a loss of $2.0 million in
    the previous corresponding period. Total revenue was up 41% to $9.1 million (FY2012:
    $6.4 million).
    “We are very pleased to be able to report strong sales growth and profit for the year,” said AtCor
    Medical chief executive officer, Duncan Ross. “This result reflects a rebound in the pharmaceutical
    trials market, where our business is expanding to provide products and services to new clients and
    in new drug categories; and increased sales of our easier to use SphygmoCor XCEL system,
    which has attracted strong interest from researchers and clinicians. We benefited substantially
    from cost savings implemented last year.”
    AtCor’s FY2013 sales were up 39% on a constant currency basis compared to the prior period.
    Global pharmaceutical sales rose 69% to US$6.1 million and US non-pharmaceutical sales
    increased 21% to US$1.7 million, both records. This was driven by strong sales to researchers
    including a US Government funded study, and growth in clinical practice sales to medical
    specialists such as cardiologists and nephrologists. Clinical practice sales were especially strong
    in the second half with the introduction of the new US CPT lll code covering the SphygmoCor test
    and launch of SphygmoCor XCEL.
    Sales in Australia and New Zealand grew following the launch of AtCor’s new SphygmoCor XCEL
    in May 2012, and were up 77%. Asian sales declined, with registration of the new XCEL device
    still pending in several countries including China. AtCor’s European sales declined compared to
    prior year, reflecting difficult economic conditions especially in southern Europe. Following the
    resizing of AtCor’s European business to match demand, Europe returned to contributing positive
    earnings for the year.
    Gross margin was a healthy 86.6%, up from 84.4% in the prior year. Improvement came from both
    volume and product mix. Expenses were 16% below the prior year; and 14% below the prior year
    in constant currency terms. Cash at 30 June 2013 was $2.9 million, compared to $1.1 million at
    30 June 2012. Net cash inflows from operating activities for the year were $1.8 million, compared
    to net cash outflows from operating activities of $1.2 million in FY2012.
    AtCor’s growth initiatives – simplifying the use of its products, encouraging support by key
    physician groups and coding, establishing important strategic alliances, expanding disease states
    covered and pursuing a growing number of companies engaged in pharmaceutical research - will
    help generate continued and increasing demand for SphygmoCor technology and services.

    According to the 2012 Annual Report, 64% is held by the top20 or 95m shares. They haven't released the 2013 AR as of yet.

    The stock has 151.8m shares on issue.

    EPS is 0.018c

    PE Ratio is 7.5

    $2,734,023/151,800,000.=0.018

    .135/.018=7.5

    Achievements included:
    • The official launch of the CPT IIl code covering the SphygmoCor® test from 1 January, with the US Renal
    Physicians Association;
    • US FDA clearance to market our new SphygmoCor XCEL system;
    • 153 new clinical studies published that used SphygmoCor, adding significantly to our evidence for use in
    clinical practice;
    • Two new patents published bringing AtCor’s IP portfolio to 8.
    Initiatives that advanced during the year included:
    • Further product development of our joint technology under the SunTech Medical alliance;
    • Implementation of our strategy to drive reimbursement under the new US CPT code in select Medicare
    regions;
    • New resources allocated to the business development of our pharmaceutical business, including
    expanding the disease states covered and targeting new companies to expand our customer base;
    • New intellectual property under review or in development;
    • An US marketing alliance with an urology disease management company, Xion Medical, to market
    SphygmoCor to urology specialists signed in June 2013.

    NTA increased from 1.3c to 3.2c

    Pillar 1-Develop and launch an easier to use cuff based device: As the established global gold standard
    and market leader in the measurement of central blood pressure and arterial stiffness, it became clear to us
    that in order to sustain and grow this position, AtCor needed to develop an easier to use device. This was
    supported by feedback from our customers; ease of use was viewed as a major obstacle to adoption of
    SphygmoCor in clinical practice. Exploiting AtCor’s core competence in signal processing and waveform
    analysis, we have been able to develop this easier to use device without any compromise of the quality of the
    central arterial waveforms and reported metrics that we provide. No competitor has been able to achieve this
    level of waveform quality nor the breadth of reported metrics in a cuff based device. Market feedback has
    been exceedingly positive from all customer segments; clinical practice, research and pharmaceutical clinical
    trials. Additional updates to SphygmoCor XCEL are planned to further differentiate and better serve market
    segments. SphygmoCor XCEL has received regulatory clearance for sale in Europe, the US, Australia and
    select Asian markets, including most recently South Korea. Registration applications are active in China,
    Canada and Mexico.
    • Pillar 2-Successfully secure a US CPT code covering the SphygmoCor test: The CPT III code (Common
    Procedural Terminology category III) to cover the SphygmoCor test, filed for by the US Renal Physicians
    Association in 2012 with the American Medical Association (AMA), became effective from 1 January 2013.
    The code now allows US physicians the opportunity to file reimbursement claims related to central aortic
    blood pressure assessment. This was a significant milestone in SphygmoCor’s path to greater clinical
    adoption. A CPT code does not automatically guarantee reimbursement. It is a time intensive process to
    negotiate with payers through supporting specialist clinicians for reimbursement, which is most effectively
    achieved at the regional level. The AtCor field team is currently working with key opinion leading physicians
    in four Medicare regions, covering 20.5 million lives of which an estimated 58% have hypertension, to garner
    full coverage. There are 10 Medicare regions and securing coverage in at least two of these is an important
    objective to facilitate more widespread use of SphygmoCor, as this will allow the Renal Physicians
    Association to file for the more robust CPT category I code. Full details of the process are available on line in
    our July Investor update.
    • Pillar 3-Pharmaceutical trials expansion: The pharmaceutical trials market is important for both our near-
    and long-term business success. In the near term, this market is responsible for over 60% of AtCor’s revenue
    and provides an important source of cash generation. In the long term, this market has an annual potential of
    over US $100 million per year for SphygmoCor devices and services. AtCor has earned a solid reputation in
    this market through focusing on key value drivers, particularly the quality of our people and services coupled
    with the global reference standard status of the SphygmoCor system. This has been rewarded by multiple
    repeat contracts and contract expansions. To date, AtCor has successfully completed, or has in process, over
    30 clinical trials with more than 9,500 clinical trial subjects enrolled. To further expand this business, AtCor
    invested additional business development resources over the past 9 months to both enlarge our opportunity
    with new pharmaceutical companies and to expand into new therapeutic areas with both new and existing
    customers. In addition to achieving record pharmaceutical sales revenue in fiscal 2013, AtCor has built its
    potential deal pipeline to US $13.6 million. Our team is relentlessly focused on product and service innovation,
    and will continue to expand the breadth of our offerings to these important customers.
    • Pillar 4-Leverage Technology and IP- SphygmoCor is a platform technology: AtCor retains 8
    commercially relevant patents in multiple geographies. Additional IP is in development. Our core competence
    of physiological waveform capture and analysis does not limit the technology to current applications. We
    realise that as a small organisation, our focus must be maintained. Effective partnering, therefore, provides
    us the ability to build further competitive strength in our current market segments and can be leveraged to
    develop new market opportunities. One example is our global alliance with SunTech Medical. Our first jointly
    developed and branded product is expected to launch within the next 12 months.
    Cardiac rhythm management represents a new potential market for AtCor. After securing our intellectual
    property (IP) and conducting a small clinical trial that showed the clear advantages to using SphygmoCor
    compared to current methods, we are gearing up to commence a joint clinical trial with major medical device company in 2013.
    Now the secret to good charting is how to read the 10day hourly and other indicators and or overlays need to be in correlation for it to succeed in having a rising sp.
    As seen here on the 10day hourly the ma's are sweet and the slow stochastic is oversold and crossed over. The 2m daily is pushing up against 14c, has a macd above the 0 line, divergence on the histogram and a crossed over slow stochastic coming from oversold territory. As the sp rises in the next 2 weeks the weekly ma's will come into order aong with the slow stochastic cross, the macd is above the 0 line.



 
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