In July 2012 I did a valuation on SSN. A year on I have made some adjustments so you can see the difference in 12 months.
Valuation on SSN 2012.
$30M Cash (Approx)
$18M Hawk Springs calculation of $1000 per acre 18,000 acres in total
$20M Roosevelt calculation of $1000 per acre 20,000 acres 1st Tranche (No buy back option from FPEC )
$17M North Dakota Approx infill wells from SSN
$4M Proved Reserves (as quoted from SSN)
$0M ORRI (at this stage)
$89M in total
4.5 cents fully diluted
If you use the Enercom report it puts an updated figure of $500 per acre on Hawk Springs and with current results from Roosevelt, if you put the same value of $500 per acre you would have a valuation of SSN of approx 3.5 cents per share fully diluted.
In July 2013 here are the adjustments I have made to the valuation on current events.
$30M Cash (Approx)
$18M Hawk Springs calculation of $1000 per acre 18,000 acres in total
$17M North Dakota Approx infill wells from SSN
$4M Proved Reserves (as quoted from SSN)
$0M ORRI (at this stage)
$69M in total
The cash position would be similar today with the sale of Roosevelt and the RI.
I have made no adjustments for the 4 infill wells at a cost of approx $25 million or approx 1 cent fully diluted.
Take out the Roosevelt project which has been sold and included in the cash amount.
A total of $69M with 2,229,165,163 shares on issue would give you a current value before results on North Stock yards of .031 cents per share.
Or $60M if you value Hawk Springs at $500 per acre or .027 cents per share.
There are different ways you can value a company so more than happy for any thoughts.
I have not put any value on the infill development until results are known and SSN can prove themselves as operators.
Cheers Matsim
SSN Price at posting:
2.5¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held