All of the other parties with representatives likely to be elected in the Thuringia state election have refused to work with the AfD in that state. Therefore, based on preliminary results, the AfD will be outnumbered and won't be able to form a government.
Preliminary results (so far):
The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) is firmly in third place, ahead of theLeft Party— the old party of BSW leader Wagenknecht.
Based on initial projected results, the 88-seat parliament is now projected to have about 31 AfD lawmakers, 23 from the CDU, 15 from BSW, 13 from the Left Party and only 6 from the Social Democrats. With the Greens having apparently failed to make the 5% threshold required to make it into parliament, they won't get a single seat. Given that all other parties have ruled out a coalition with the AfD, it appears extremely unlikely the far-right party would be able to form a government. But the fact they're on track to control over one-third of the seats means they would be able to block some state assembly decisions, such as voting for judges.
