Is this point to decide what happens next?.From a weekly perspective, a great week. Last week 4.1, this week 4.8.
.So what is happening? I feel U macro is at a very critical level. CCJ and U sector has done well. Mid-week, I wrote on another thread, what I feel possible plays can happen. I am basing it on CCJ which I am following, as must be evident by now, for those reading my posts. I had written, either CCJ will consolidate after 4 greens or will do what it did in March - it raced over 20s from early 40s to 50s in 6 green trading weeks. We crossed the 4 greens. We did 6 greens straight for CC yesterday. So second play happened.So which is the direction?. I don't know. I will wait to see what happens tonight. U macros is very strong. Spot price is also on the rise, Can stocks play to that? Very possibly. But as I wrote mid-week, if we don't have a consolidation (in tis case towards 45), then we may have a big drop, more towards 4. We don't want that. But I know what most want. A play towards 6s - isn't it.
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But the crucial thing is - what happens next? For those who read my posts, for last 2 months I have been saying about September top (after July top, May bottom, both of which happened, incidentally). Just a week back, it was looking very bleak. Things changed. CCJ gained around 20% in a week - is it just to satisfy my September top? I am just kidding.
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We are at cross roads. There are two paths from here. CCJ does a slightly higher day today, but intra-day, but finishes in red, Then it does back test of 45. Other scenario is it gets over 50, and stays there. Important point is - it stays over 50. At this stage I don't have an opinion what's going to happen. I had strong opinion for months, which somehow played out, but now I am not sure. There is now some euphoria in the sector - and my experience says, whenever Euphoria comes, we lose. i hope its different this time.
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Tonight I feel is important to give short term direction. I know most here are long term, so it doesn't affect them. But I feel we are at cross roads now, for short to medium play.
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So what's my short term play saying? Its saying - we don't know. We have to wait for tonight. Lets see how it plays out.
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Personally, I have exited most of my AGE stocks, once again. Yesterday I felt was a good number (possibly because of rebalancing), but I got out. I haven't bought back. So two good trades for me - from 3.55 to 4.6, and now close to 4.1 to 5. Now I wait. I can't decide the direction. Best I can follow. I have got it wrong before, so please dyor, I could be wrong again.
..So what may happen next week? All depends on CCJ. On weakness it needs to hold 45. But its got a lot of buffer for that. For many, its about early 50s. Will that happen? Lets hope so. Enjoy your weekend and all the best
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Last
4.8¢ |
Change
-0.002(4.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $185.9M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
4.7¢ | 5.0¢ | 4.7¢ | $517.3K | 10.75M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 814497 | 4.8¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
4.9¢ | 430000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 814497 | 0.048 |
4 | 304238 | 0.047 |
11 | 1070308 | 0.046 |
14 | 3359450 | 0.045 |
7 | 382271 | 0.044 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.049 | 430000 | 1 |
0.050 | 1262763 | 6 |
0.051 | 4324886 | 9 |
0.052 | 1044014 | 8 |
0.053 | 744339 | 3 |
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