Okay, so phone reception disappears in about 15 minutes time, so this is just a quick report on my main takeout from the AGM.
By my quick reckoning, based on today's revelations, FAR's underlying value - not yet recognised by the market - sits somewhere around Malcy's 25 cents but is probably higher. Consider:
> Cath said the market continues to assume COP's sale price of $2.20 reflects the value of a barrel of oil in Senegal and was worth seven cents per share to FAR. But ...
> Elsewhere around the World, 2C oil is selling for $US4-8 per barrel depending on the situation.
> At the same time, Mr Market continues to work on the so-far declared resource, in our case 641mb, one million more than Woodside has stated. However ...
> The connectivity results were absolutely outstanding. Privately, FAR anticipates recovery of 30-40% compared with the 20% currently factored in.
> There is now zero doubt that Sirius in the northern part of SNE. The next JV resource update in Aug/Sept will include Sirius. I'm not sure that registered with many at the meeting but I thought it dramatic news.
So we are now talking about a near-double recovery rate across a much bigger field - and a minimum doubling of the price-per-barrel. My head is spinning!
About to head into black hole, so must sign o........
OOO
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