The reason I got behind this company is 1. Long-term potash thematic 2. Unique scale of the project.
I think the company offers high potential returns but that comes with some key risks 1. technical 2. funding.
The company has done a good job proving up the project from a technical perspective but I am worried about the funding side of things.
James3600 you are correct that they could project finance the development with a 70/30 debt/equity split, however project financing facilities become quite punitive beyond a 50/50 debt/equity split (i.e. cash sweeps/lockups, high interest and fees and convertibles). Project finance debt providers, like Taurus for example, are notorious for providing extremely expensive project financing facilities which can strangle a company's shareholder returns over the medium-term. Because of this I would like to see at least $300m of the project funded by equity (even at say a 20% discount). Having Aus Super as a cornerstone investor may help to facilitate such a raising. Ultimately this will enable a reasonably priced debt facility to be put in place.
This key to facilitating a $300m+ equity raise is to get the sp up over the next 12-months to reduce dilution. Hopefully can get it back up towards a $1/sh!
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Last
9.5¢ |
Change
0.003(3.26%) |
Mkt cap ! $36.26M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
9.5¢ | 9.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $269 | 2.832K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 10000 | 9.1¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
9.5¢ | 97168 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 10000 | 0.091 |
1 | 25000 | 0.089 |
1 | 113602 | 0.088 |
1 | 485 | 0.085 |
2 | 47000 | 0.080 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.095 | 97168 | 1 |
0.098 | 5000 | 1 |
0.100 | 91502 | 1 |
0.105 | 25532 | 1 |
0.110 | 126746 | 1 |
Last trade - 15.36pm 01/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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