Ironcally the state of things between the Puntland govt and the TFG are one of my least concerns. It probably doesn't even make the top ten.
Puntland is very much next years story. The next 3 months should mostly be about Georgia plus a little of the Amercias thrown in.
It tink it could reach a new level of 10-13p or 14-20c before Puntland is even an issue again.