March 2017 Analysis of Rare Earth Market
"heavy rare earth oxides
Dysprosium oxide 3 Yuefen mainstream market average price of122.59 Wanyuan / ton, compared with 2 month 120.56 Wanyuan / up tons of 1.68% ; dysprosium iron 3 Yuefen mainstream market average price of 124.96 Wanyuan / ton, 2 February 122.56 Wanyuan / Ton up 1.95% ".
DyO managed to jump from $175kg to $178kg during March, but Govt had to put 450t, six months demand, into stockpile in support.
http://www.ac-rei.org.cn/portal.php?mod=view&aid=6035&page=4
"rare earth export situation
Heavy rare aspects: . 3 the month outlet dysprosium oxide 2700kg, a decline of 77.82% ; yttria outlet 107 092 kg, a decline of45.98% ; export terbium oxide 1000 kg, a decline of 82.39%"
http://www.ac-rei.org.cn/portal.php?mod=view&aid=6035&page=6
Looks like Japan may have finished adding Dy to stockpile post August 2015 price crash, if so we'll see a return to the actual ROW demand levels < 15tpa reported 2013/14. Average < one tonne pm YTD would support that concept, stay tuned.
Just for clarity, in 2013, 2014 & 2015 H1 China exported just over one tonne DyO each month on average. Post mark down crash to commodity value < $200kg exports rose to an average of +6 tonne per month, annualising 70/80t, largely to Japan which suggests additions to their Critical Metals storage well over previous consumption rates.
YTD data, average < one tonne per month suggests Japan is now purchasing at consumption rates circa 2013/14 levels.
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