ABC 0.00% $3.19 adbri limited

All depends on 5 pillar strategy execution

  1. 47 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 41
    Disappointing but not unexpected result today given the headwinds

    But where to from here?
    ABC has been a no growth stock for quite some time.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4614/4614061-b2278b41d821c884a28153da70ada753.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4614/4614066-0d65926b57e8a31b70a7cecd1e3fe4dc.jpg

    ABC has not executed it's strategy well in the past. $260m of acquisitions prior to 2018 may have fired the share price but only marginally impacted EPS for a short time.

    New CEO appointed October last year so maybe things will change

    Looking at the strategy pillar of building out quarry and concrete footprint for SE Qld, the big concern is paying too much for acquisitions.

    $58m was paid for Zanows on 8.5 X EBITDA, therefore EBITDA is $6.8m

    The total value of ABC = Market Cap + Debt = $1.440B + $651m = $2,091m
    HY2022 EBITDA = $135m
    Expected FY2022EBITDA = $270m

    Total value of ABC is 7.7 X EBITDA

    So why pay a higher multiple for an acquisition (and could be even higher still if there is debt involved) than the multiple the parent company is on. I understand why you might pay up for quarries but you would pay a lot less for a commodity like ready mix concrete.

    Anybody have a better understanding of what is a fair price for these types of assets?


 
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