Hi Jerry ,
Have you noticed that the poll numbers are almost identical to what the numbers were at the last election .
The cut and paste from wikipedia doesn't come out that well , but despite the tales of woe and gnashing of teeth, Labor has to make do with its winning election margin.
Not as good as it has been , but has actually been worse and recovered.
Date Brand Interview mode Sample
sizePrimary vote 2pp vote[c] L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND ALP L/NP 23 December 2022 Andrew Geeleaves the Nationals to become an Independent 16–18 December 2022 Freshwater Strategy[96][97][98] Online 1,209 37% 37% 12% 4% 1% 9% — 54% 46% 7–11 December 2022 Essential[5] Online 1,042 30% 35% 13% 6% 3% 17% 5% 51% 44% 30 November–4 December 2022 Resolve Strategic[99][100] Online 1,611 30% 42% 11% 4% 2% 8% — 60% 40% 30 November–3 December 2022 Newspoll[101] Online 1,508 35% 39% 11% 6% 1% 9% — 55% 45% 23–27 November 2022 Essential[101][102] Online 1,042 31% 33% 13% — — 17% 6% 51% 43% 27–30 October 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[103] Online 1,500 35% 38% 11% 6% 1% 9% — 55% 45% 26–30 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[104][103] Online 1,611 32% 39% 13% 4% 1% 11% — 57.4%[d] 42.6% 5–9 October 2022 Resolve Strategic[105][106] Online 1,604 30% 39% 12% 5% 3% 11% — 58.3% 41.7% 14–18 September 2022 Resolve Strategic[107][108] Online 1,607 32% 39% 10% 6% 2% 11% — 57% 43% 31 August–3 September 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[109][110] Online 1,505 31% 37% 13.5% 7% 2% 10% — 57% 43% 17–21 August 2022 Resolve Strategic[111][112] Online 2,011 28% 42% 12% 5% 2% 11% — 61.3% 38.7% 27–30 July 2022 Newspoll-YouGov[113][114] Online 1,508 33% 37% 12% 6% 2% 10% — 56% 44% 14–17 June 2022 Dynata[115] Online 1,001 31% 34% 12% 4% 4% 7% 9% 52.2%[e] 47.8% 13–19 June 2022 Roy Morgan[116] Online/telephone 1,401 37% 36% 11% 4% 0.5% 11.5% — 53% 47% 29 May 2022 Peter Duttonelected unopposed asLeader of the Liberal Party[117] 21 May 2022 Election[118][119] 35.7% 32.6% 12.2% 5.0% 4.1% 10.4% — 52.1% 47.9
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