Tin ($36,645/t) jumps on Myanmar earthquake as Chinese smelters struggle to find ore with Bisie in the DRC offline due to M23 rebel proximity
- Tin has been rallying since M23 rebel activity in north-Kivu forced the closure of the Bisie tin mine.
- Tin is up c.10% since the mine closed, with the operation accounting for 6% of global mine supply last year and set to ramp up further in 2025.
- Additionally, Kivu is a major tin supplier from artisanal sources, producing 3.3kt Sn last year.
- China smelters are currently struggling with limited access to ore, with the closure of Man Maw in 2023 limiting supply.
- The Wa State had recently approved the reopening of Man Maw, approving new permits.
- In the meantime, Chinese down streamers have been relying on scrap stock, with secondary-fed production up 15%yoy last year. (Reuters)
- The severity of the 7.7 magnitude earthquake has overwhelmed Myanmar and Thai hospitals with many concrete structures collapsed along the Sagaing fault with bridges down other infrastructure down.
- The Sagaing strike-slip fault is a similar geological structure to the San Andreas fault where major 7.9 earthquakes struck in 1906 and 1857
- Anecdotal reports suggest a significantly higher death toll in from the Myanmar earthquake with the USGS estimating >10,000.
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